67% of the Armenian population is confident that the leader of the Republican Party of Armenia, Prime Minister Serge Sargsyan will win the forthcoming presidential elections.
If the poll was conducted this Sunday, 55% of the enfranchised would participate in it. 38% of the voters would cast their ballot in favor of Serge Sargsyan, 13% – for Raffi Hovhannisyan, 12%- for Arthur Baghdasaryan, 8% – Artashes Geghamyan, 6% – Levon Ter-Petrosyan, 5% – Vazgen Manukyan, 4% – Gagik Tsarukyan and 4% – Vahan Hovhannisyan. Aram Karapetyan would receive 1%.
Interestingly, while I’m also quite confident, that Serzh Sargsyan is the clear front-runner of these elections, and that Raffi Hovhannisyan and Artur Baghdasaryan might as well be more popular then Levon Ter-Petrosyan, the way the material about the polls was laid out and presented in the Public Radio article left me with a strange feeling of being fooled and tricked. Reading this guide for journalists to opinion polls explained some of that feeling for me: journalists, PR specialists and news consumers alike all need to learn quite a bit about polls, before we start using them for manipulating public opinion. And at this point – I don’t see polls serving any other purpose than that in Armenia.